Basketball-Reference released their Win Shares-based projections on Monday, and after blacking out from trying to comprehend all the numbers, the calculators see Hornets point guard Chris Paul as a favorite for the MVP award.
Real GM explains the wins shares calculation as an “attempt to predict how many individual wins each NBA player will be almost single-handedly responsible for the coming season.”
In more detail, Andre’ snellings at NBA.com compares a Win Share to baseball’s VORP stat: “it relies on the assumption that efficiency is the key to wins, looks at a player’s offensive efficiency compared to the league average, a player’s defensive efficiency compared to the league average, corrects foe minutes played…” adds them together and boom –“that estimates how many wins the player was worth.”
According to the B-R numbers, the Hornets will win 46.6 games this season, with Paul accounting for a league best 14.0 of those victories. Reigning MVP LeBron James comes in second with a 13.8 WS and Dwight Howard clocked in third with a 11.6 WS.
However, the estimation doesn’t guarantee CP3 a 2010 MVP trophy. He led the league in WS in 07-8 and didn’t win squat. Last year he was in WS and he didn’t even garner Top 3 MVP votes.
Anyway, the MVP voters know little about Win Shares.
Showing posts with label Chris Paul. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chris Paul. Show all posts
Tuesday, September 22, 2009
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